Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.378223 0.440140 0.508622 0.589929 0.683788 0.788693 0.914803
2025-03-16 0.263339 0.342581 0.439933 0.568102 0.732196 0.935035 1.204643
2025-03-23 0.223224 0.314320 0.434873 0.605574 0.840558 1.152134 1.596152
2025-03-30 0.179755 0.270295 0.397713 0.589298 0.869206 1.262255 1.855090
2025-04-06 0.147324 0.234629 0.364267 0.569642 0.885588 1.351766 2.090138
2025-04-13 0.122963 0.206250 0.336043 0.551537 0.898719 1.434132 2.319888
2025-04-20 0.108583 0.190896 0.324903 0.557017 0.946851 1.572369 2.648338
2025-04-27 0.101173 0.185673 0.328834 0.586545 1.036013 1.783588 3.115620
2025-05-04 0.092811 0.177393 0.326192 0.603966 1.105932 1.969442 3.559687
2025-05-11 0.083971 0.166850 0.317985 0.610049 1.155935 2.125473 3.967621
2025-05-18 0.075181 0.155060 0.305826 0.606983 1.188280 2.252617 4.335877
2025-05-25 0.067031 0.143309 0.292128 0.599002 1.209902 2.361489 4.680431
2025-06-01 0.060446 0.133984 0.282305 0.598056 1.246324 2.504376 5.110386
2025-06-08 0.052596 0.120910 0.263384 0.576561 1.239758 2.564774 5.388228
2025-06-15 0.051165 0.121514 0.272686 0.614605 1.358889 2.884829 6.219013
2025-06-22 0.045270 0.111226 0.257437 0.598095 1.361122 2.967903 6.570971
2025-06-29 0.039873 0.101279 0.241603 0.578154 1.353257 3.028483 6.880860
2025-07-06 0.035267 0.092528 0.227308 0.559787 1.346454 3.090028 7.198414
2025-07-13 0.032730 0.088515 0.223501 0.565346 1.394767 3.276665 7.812442
2025-07-20 0.031863 0.088632 0.229575 0.595302 1.503570 3.609480 8.792340
2025-07-27 0.030337 0.086800 0.230617 0.612975 1.584800 3.887085 9.671990
2025-08-03 0.028341 0.083400 0.227275 0.619146 1.638369 4.105101 10.432070
2025-08-10 0.026092 0.078965 0.220677 0.616036 1.668082 4.268680 11.076089